The water is coming

Legal frameworks are not adequate for islands sinking into the sea

The world is witnessing an unprecedented transformation— one driven not just by environmental factors but by extreme geopolitical shifts. Sea level rise represents an ecological disaster that threatens both state jurisdiction and economic development as well as international legal frameworks. Nation-states now face legal and diplomatic problems because their coastal areas and maritime borders change while existing UNCLOS frameworks prove inadequate to solve these disputes. The world loses land while power relations between states experience fundamental changes.

Rising sea levels will directly change Exclusive Economic Zones (EEZs) together with territorial boundaries between countries. The maritime zones known as EEZs enable countries to exercise complete control over their essential maritime resources which include fisheries and offshore oil deposits. The disappearance of coastal areas and islands creates disputed border lines which results in increased geopolitical conflicts. New Moore Island (South Talpatti) demonstrates the issue of border dispute between India and Bangladesh. The disappearance of the island beneath ocean waters did not halt the ongoing dispute regarding maritime rights. The severe coastal erosion that Bangladesh faces becomes more dangerous as its land area decreases which threatens both the national economy and defence capabilities. The economic centre of Pakistan, Karachi, faces both flooding and land erosion while the country remains exposed to security threats.

The continuing existence of the Maldives and Tuvalu depends heavily on the outcome of the climate crisis. The total submergence of these countries creates complex legal and diplomatic situations which terrify their governments. Several governments now seek foreign territories for population relocation to avoid illegal mass migration without compromising their national identity. However, this presents an unprecedented challenge: If a nation loses all its land, does it still retain sovereignty? How will international law adapt to protect the rights of displaced citizens? UNCLOS, the bedrock of maritime law, provides no clear answers.

The world witnesses both the disappearance of certain nations while other countries enlarge their geographical domains. The artificial island construction by China within the South China Sea demonstrates how certain states use geographic modifications to reach strategic advantages and boost their economic power. China has built islands and military facilities to extend its territorial claims which enables them to control valuable maritime resources. The situation shows that some states are disappearing while others create artificial land masses to expand their territorial power. The lack of regulation in this practice creates the potential for powerful states to establish their territorial claims by overpowering defenceless countries.

The environmental catastrophe surpasses its impact on human settlements. Entire ecosystems are at risk. The beaches where endangered Hawksbill turtles lay their eggs are disappearing into the sea. The survival of wildlife species that depend on these vulnerable habitats looks increasingly hopeless and this leads to further ecological destruction.

The water is coming, and with it, a new era of geopolitical instability. Countries must move beyond environmental discussions and recognize the security, legal, and diplomatic crises that rising sea levels pose. The world cannot afford to wait for coastlines to vanish before taking action. Whether through legal innovation, diplomatic agreements, or infrastructure development, solutions must be pursued now to prevent conflicts and ensure global stability in an era of sinking borders.

The disappearance of land and rising water levels are expected to produce among the biggest movements of climate refugees throughout human history. The global refugee system becomes increasingly strained by the anticipated population movements from coastal areas across the world. These displaced populations receive no protection because they lack the legal framework which protects war refugees. A deficiency exists in international bodies which prevent them from handling statelessness resulting from climate change.

Sea level rise creates a situation that challenges the world to reevaluate fundamental laws of statehood along with governing principles. If an island nation disappears beneath the waves, does its government still have a seat at the United Nations? Can a country maintain an EEZ if it has no physical land? These are not hypothetical questions; they are real challenges that demand immediate attention.

The solution to this challenge involves developing new legal definitions for displaced nations alongside establishing floating infrastructure systems and giving digital sovereignty recognition to governments that lose territorial control. To prevent worldwide anarchy the world needs proactive legal revisions because territorial conflicts and population relocations are worsening.

The water is coming, and with it, a new era of geopolitical instability. Countries must move beyond environmental discussions and recognize the security, legal, and diplomatic crises that rising sea levels pose. The world cannot afford to wait for coastlines to vanish before taking action. Whether through legal innovation, diplomatic agreements, or infrastructure development, solutions must be pursued now to prevent conflicts and ensure global stability in an era of sinking borders.

Amna Hashmi
Amna Hashmi
The writer is currently pursuing Mphil in International Relations from Kinnaird College for Women, Lahore, and can be reached at [email protected]

LEAVE A REPLY

Please enter your comment!
Please enter your name here

Must Read

Chinese vice president meets Fiji’s speaker of parliament

BEIJING: Chinese Vice President Han Zheng met with Filimone Jitoko, speaker of Parliament of the Republic of Fiji, in Beijing on Friday. Noting Fiji was...